Preakness Trifecta and Superfecta Betting and Picks
The 141st Preakness certainly has the look of an event where the top two betting choices and finishers in the Kentucky Derby – Nyquist and Exaggerator – might have to fall down to finish worse than third.
With that in mind, the studious player looking to find value in an exotic wager such as the trifecta or superfecta isn't completely out of luck. Filling in the third and fourth-placed slots in vertical exotic plays is a far more interesting and logical handicapping proposition than predicting an unlikely upset of the top two who, with the possible exception of 8/1 shot Stradivari, appear to have the field at their mercy. Prices abound among the remaining eight contenders, but how to go about sorting out the group?
Fast early pace opens the door for Cherry Wine late
For starters, this Preakness is loaded with colts who want or need the early lead to be effective. Of course, they won't all get it. Uncle Lino (20/1), Awesome Speed (30/1), Collected (10/1), Laoban (30/1), and Abiding Star (30/1) should all be forwardly-placed early. With the presence of quality speed such as Nyquist and Stradivari also projecting near the lead, the race sets up for a closer. While Exaggerator is the obvious choice, Cherry Wine (20/1) has a live look as the Dale Romans trainee has proven the ability to pass horses. He should be picking off plenty of stragglers late. Cherry Wine has also won in his only attempt over a sloppy track - a condition he will likely see again at Pimlico with 1-2 inches of rain in the Baltimore forecast.
Fellowship could get into the mix in deep stretch
To a lesser degree, Fellowship (30/1) is another colt who can churn on late and pick up the pieces for the third or fourth spot in the exotic bets. Based on these opinions, a starting point for the trifecta could include Nyquist and Exaggerator as interchangeable pieces in all positions with Cherry Wine, Fellowship, and Stradivari filling out the remaning positions.
The Picks
$2 trifecta part wheel: 3, 5 with 3,5 with 1,10, 11
$1 trifecta part wheel: 3,5 with 1,11 with 3,5
$1 trifecta part wheel: 11 with 3,5 with 3,5
$1 trifecta part wheel: 11 with 3,5 with 1,10
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